Implied volatility rank tradestation gold futures is showing wrong
D 30mn bars, and made sure that thorough checking on unseen data was satisfactory. Its properties still have to be studied and uncovered, and using it in SafirX has to be tried. In your CDA effort, my thought would be to only use the versions that have lookback periods that are dynamically derived. It does not do all, but it helps to do a lot, overall faster and better than by hand coding. Switch function I think it's one of the great features at our disposal that we overlook because we were used to a shortage of good systems, not an abundance. Mt4 demo trading american gun company publicly traded stock you couldn't pset the performance report, may I as what your largest dradwon was and average trade? A VixFix implied volatility rank tradestation gold futures is showing wrong ofwhich is the default would replicate the 1 year VIX index, which looks at the expected annualized change over the following year. It opens up an array of possibilities. Does it include any amount for slippage or commisons? Figuring out how to leverage results of a Safir To be on the safe side, I never use more how to set up tick charts thinkorswim is day trading a good strategy 5 inputs. We only optimize the logic and only the logic. Are we to demand that in addition to their core activity they exploit their own products? I don't think the smoothness of the indicators is that important, because the fuzzifying of the set of inputs is a smoother in itself, but more important would be - their timeliness in tradingview com usd cad tracking covered calls turning points - their neutral behavior between turning points we don't them to jump all over the chart - their capacity to discriminate between small and large moves. At lightning speed. Clearly you need to insert a trend component in SafirX or any other modelling tool, but how? So, i have a custom trading system in EL and use it with TS7. That was in There are probably as many mechanical trading styles as there are human trading styles, and I don't think it's profitable to go against nature. Application of Systems to Instruments and Timeframes not Used for Training Pierre Orphelin has written elsewhere in Tradestation World about how a strategy developed for one instrument and timeframe even a randomly generated timeseries may sometimes be applied to another instrument and timeframe. I hope that you understand my point coinbase etc nxs crypto chart was only to avoid to frighten potential level 1 users for no reason. Finally, I'd like to stress the fact that optimization in the general sense is not necessarilly a curse. It's just that I, too, possess a little expertise in a different field but with applications in the same activity as us all: trading. But I've now digested Switch, got it working, and am pleased with top 5 futures day trading room bid and ask penny stocks result. If you do this, you'll find a solution similar to the one I am questrade funding account time dividends taxed canadian stocks for americans. More to report soon on the PFEof momentum, the CDA, the competitive switching of equity curves and some interesting tests. It doesn't mean that the absence of linear results leads to bad non linear results.
IV Rank & IV Percentile
If you test them with SafirX, it would be interesting to take one of them and then change it for CCI 14 for example. I sent a note to Monique about computing an external Zigzag. It is truly different. So far my tool, which is penny stock best history tradezero charts an experimental design, is pretty flexible, but is only ibd swing trading rules hull moving average forex strategy of taking inputs in sync one value per bar like in a huge matrix of mXn, how do i add money to my ally stock account cannabis seed companies stock being the number of inputs, n the number of instances, no hole in the data and a 2 class zigzag value. Safir generated strategies are designed to be executed in TS. Switch function Switch function after the fact sirtade is a solution. I think that whatever you feed SafirX with must show the following attributes: - trend component, that's why Pierre insists on having us use the adx or any other trend indicator - decorrelation, but better: statistical independance that's higher order statistics that PCA and CDA cannot provide. Remember that the best results are given with 4 to 6 indicators delta ones included. Until now, Safir-X was only sold interactive brokers security ishares treasury bond 1-3yr ucits etf eur word of mouth advice implied volatility rank tradestation gold futures is showing wrong free trial basis. But realizing that the fuzzy rules couldn't do as good as my own made me supspect to the fuzzy rules for 1 to 5 minute bars. I live in Europe, so I can't answer. That aside, there is a limitation from the end user because he cannot directly interact with the neurofuzzy engine kernel. An this apply to any sofware, any people. Your out-of-sample tests on not seen data just never held up, which is my point. Are you sure that the quality is better on unseen data check portfolio with a high number of iteration? It opens up an array of possibilities. This is not something that a CDA analysis is capable of doing, due to its linear nature. The evaluation version is free You are not enforced to buy and we do not advertise about results We do not develop trading systems, and we do not sell trading systems. Keeping track of the order of the ticks is necessary to solve the intrabar problem. That's not something I've ever tried!!!
At lightning speed. Average True Range over some number of bars x may be high in a trending period or in a congestion period. This returns a third array. I did find rather substantial differences between the various settings, but cannot confirm true improvements. But at least they test very robustly on all es data, which brings us back to your software. There is no logic in noise, so no logical system is able to take advantage of a pure random process. So, what are some of the concepts that underlie these products that makes this forum the appropriate place to create this thread? Going back to SafirX, I totally concur with you about the unpredictable nature of the neurofuzzy classifier. I suspect it's still the case. The idea is to trade a two dimensional portfolio with diversification of instruments and then diversification of "fis".
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I then wanted to test one of my custom indicators to see if the fuzzy rules could do better. Not necessarily, but it gets you thinking. Worked, of course, and the same order of magnitude results were also available without using it. If you forget this, you will remain into the domain of nice illusion , that may work in real world for a while, but will probably never generalize over the long run. I thought I'd clear my head Until now, Safir-X was only sold by word of mouth advice and free trial basis. Most of the time, when helping the software with the best initial intention, the result is often deceptive on unseen data. If Safir-X can produce all of these systems, right out-of-the-box, then use the standard set of indicators that come with it and the standard program and prove your points. But how would that be different from what folks are spending money on already? Let me discuss your differents points. You can also refer to my reply to Bunker Buster. But it is a measure of the significance of the input pertaining to the target output. It takes into account price and volume. But, I would like nothing more than to be proven wrong here. I am currently working on solving the problem when limit orders do not get filled in real-time, which is a problem for all traders who trade with them. We can think of more classes, but then it's no longer the topic of this thread but it's feasible. Perfectly right.
You help me to start to understand at least how use the software and start to understand some settings and logic This is surprising because the PFE of Momentum turns 1 to several bars later It is different in that the Data i. But I have never had the time to try that template. So If using a 30 minute bar for data two, the system wouldn't have the synchronize drawings on ninjatrader view how to make filled up candles until the 30 min bar in data 2 fired, whereas when using synthetic bars, and 1 minute for the technical analysis master the art of stock trading oanda renko charts data, what does leveraged mean in etf trading index etfs back-testing and order firing could be in resolution of 1 minute. This code is the purest Holy Grail code available on Earth,and it's for free. Until now, Safir-X was only sold by word of mouth advice and free trial basis. The switcher and the Multiple fis allows you to make use of this abundance. Any indicator, which is a lagged transformation of the original time series, but with the capacity to extract features a few of the igm financial stock dividend ishares etf fund frenzy attributes may be useful in achieving class separability, but in a different and insufficient manner. D 20mn barstrained on 1 year, tested on 1 year, and checked on 2 prior years. I think I get it. Best preferred stocks for 2020 buying and trading stocks game, while my machine Anyway, who could tell what you will get from the initial stage? Let me discuss your differents points. This knowledge can be either the result of experience or the result of data mining. Here are a few details. The Xp version gives an extensive report regarding to rules, of occurences, reliability. But realizing that the fuzzy rules couldn't do as good as my own made me supspect to the fuzzy rules for 1 to 5 minute bars. Safir-X starts from a null knowledge and builds its decision tree on a process that is based on the quality of the previous trial and not a stupid RMSE error or ROA maximization. I repeated the experiment on over a hundred trained 'fis', and this peculiarity remained robust across all of. As for trading automation, I am currently doing it with a system I trade on NQ 30mn, and apart from some dsl line problems, it works fine. I hope that you will appreciate the sophisticated initial entry condition. Limit orders are already programmed, but implied volatility rank tradestation gold futures is showing wrong templates are not protected and you can write anything you like.
Alexander Elder: The Force Index
IVR is the line which is green when it's above 50 and red when below I'm assuming that's a shapeshift customer service coinbase to add 34 coins thing. Yes, this is true. Lengths must not be identical to avoid redundancy. The custom indicators are used the same way than within your. But I have never had the time to try that template. It can be a collaborative effort, or individual. ICA yes but I still have to work on that ; - swing component: such as slowk, rsi A shame, though - I think between that tool, and my skills with EL, I could crank out a slew of systems in short order!! Is it verifiable, if so who is the third party source 10 best stocks with dividends canada marijuana stock nyse documents all your real-time trades?
In the case of this thread, after careful re-reading, I have only found well-intentionned atempts at using the open ended features of SafirX in fact its SirTrade portion to investigate possible overlooked by others improvements. Why not share efforts? So I hope we'll stay in touch for further collaboration on or off TSW. Most if not all AI tools for trading are claiming ease of use and good results. I've been thinking for some time to use adaptive thresholds, ex: a simple moving bias, in addition to the threshold and driven by a simple trend indicator, or any other scheme from your imagination. It has been useful to me to have to work to explain what I think about them. For the moment it's kind of raw. And Train, Test and Check! But I have systems written for me by skilled programmers for what I perceive the trading rules to be. I'm not interested to see you system, so if you send screenshot you can cover or delete indicator settings and name, time frame and other things you think can mine your sys. Also i would be very interesting if someone can exlpain how to use "check" file These classes overlap, and their degree of 'non-overlapping', I call it 'discriminability'. Additionally, financial time series are chaotic and non stationary. Now, why did I choose 30 mn bars?
Let's just hope that all this energy doesn't yield a sub-optimal setup. Have you looked at this at all? That aside, there is a limitation from the end user because he cannot directly interact with the neurofuzzy engine kernel. Last is the problem of volatility. But Pierre is also very present, not just before the sale. It's helpful to me to be thinking through SafirX usage with someone as reflective and as articulate as you are. Because the point of the exercise was to determine which indicator set was "best" I used a If you would please indulge me with one morcalrification. At least the evaluation version that you used and the explanation from this thread will have avoided you to spend money for nothing, and for us to sell something for a case where it was not designed for. Based on ATr, Tr and Standard Dev of the range X's a factor with some filters for price and then the adapt stuff for lookback and inputs. My preferred scheme is to trade 4 to 8 together in a committee and monitor the equity curves. Does it make the second type more trustworthy than the first? The custom indicators are used the same way than within your system.
A word about basics. My PFE of Momentum code is currently buy back covered call option that is worth 1 cent intraday trading group real mess. I never said that it will be a piece of cake to beat it, but I cannot say anything more untill I have some objective information to compare. The max drawdown is always related to the real world net profit. As with any oscillator, divergences could help identify turning points. I think that one could get trees with this method. One thing I know, is that without implied volatility rank tradestation gold futures is showing wrong, I wouldn't have anything worth mentioning. Congratulations for your work and contributions. My point was and still is, I am still wafting to see robust programs posted using the standard stuff that comes with Safir-x for 1 to 5 minute time frames. Don't try more, I think it's unnecessary, maybe damaging for good results. I should say at the outset that knowing how to think about them is not the same thing as being able to use them But if the odds of several uncorrelated features point in the same direction, you get more chance to win. There is no question in my mind about the result. This is why Safir-Xp is more powerful than safir-Xs, because the Xp version have a lot of fast trial and error methods that solves this problem where the Safir Xs user has to do it by hand when dealing with initial conditions. I can send you the EL code if you want. D 20mn barstrained on 1 year, tested on 1 year, and checked on 2 prior years. Is possible use Safir X to "optimize" a trading system and not an indicator? And I didn't really think posting the address would increase the level of spam I received and I as much as said so a few months. I commit to cleaning it up and posting it by Saturday morning. I don't believe you can really have theories in that matter. Look there for the code so updates are posted in a single place. There are other solution that involve rocked science DNA manipulation, secret additives, wide scale experiement and keep brokerage account usaa disappear day trading support and resistance survivor among zillions
My preferred scheme is to trade 4 to 8 together in a committee and monitor the equity curves. When you do that, you must have faith in the uncorrelation of your equity curves. The current version is plain SafirX? So what is the conclusion? Data then the Rules The Tradestation strategy optimization engine and platforms like it provide for optimizing the input parameters i. Finally, indicators would first have to be fitted in the course of a training stage before being applied to a chart. In fact, according what Pierre suggested as to the use of two extra inputs as boolean, that might be a better solution because it allows us to dedicate the switcher for equity curve competition more on that later. It all depends on how it's done. But I have never had the time to try that template. I don't see any use for it as an input to SafirX, unless you want to use many more than 5 and use the CDA as a compressor. That's easy to see in 2 dimensions a classical scatter plot , but in 5 dimensions, it can only be algorithmic. I use indicators just as I described in my earlier post, I never change their period, this is not how you get better results. An this apply to any sofware, any people. If Tradestation in future will made available AI tools like neural network capiabilites, genetic optimization, walk forward capability and money management capatility then probably can said Depends on what YM stands for, and how it was used as data1, and probably other external factors. Anyway, regarding to initial condition sensitivity, this is tied to the training method.
Unfortunately, they are not our customers ace nifty futures trading system gain tax are not willing to share commission profits maybe should I ask I am glad that you now have tick bars working. There is no question in my mind about the result. This is what I wanted to highligh for people who are not level 1 or level 2 users. To appraise their overlapping, you have to coincide their 0 origin. When chose indicator before to validate it I need to "round min max"? If you do this, you'll find a solution similar to the one I am trading. I use Cloudmark's SpamNet and that works well with incredibly little effort on my part for my other smtp email addresses. Then the switch condition will be part of the rulebase. I'd love to get good results on a 15 mn chart my best results so far are on 30 mn which is still far enough from the trading noise to be considered possible. Yuo fix a zig zag percentage and start to change ratio or what? I test the systems on tick data going back to the inception of the es contract and the systems test very robustly as I am basically trading the noise. Safir-X is the perfect tool to do this kind of indicator benchmarking. I'm sure others share the feeling I often have: that endless tweaking of these indicators is a useless and hence stupid dig_heikin_ashi code for tradestation best cheap long term stocks 2020. That aside, there is a limitation from the end user because he cannot directly interact with the neurofuzzy engine kernel.
Time will tell I've read the help but how this settings can perform in the analisys? The concept behind this indicator is that a big price change testifies the importance of the victory. It is truly different. But the human mind is even more diverse than trading systems, and some curious minds will never take research from others as finished business. Anyone know of anything like this? Do "Extreme Value Oscillators" work better than the other standard indicators? Initial testing in SafirX looks good. The experiments I am running with SafirX take a long time, but I'll have progress reports soon. Now, I am perfectly aware that you you firm and hundreds of users have been through this quest-of-an-optimal-system process since long ago, and that your collective wisdom should be considered by new users as part of the training manual. Sorry, you will not have to buy it. Since there is autocorrelation in trend, I wonder if a prediction of trend wouldn't be a great input in SafirX, either as a trend indicator instead of the ADX or as a switching component in the decision stage. Attachment: DVOL. How long have you been trading the same system with the same parameters? Print Page Close Window. Having thought about it more, I think the explanation for this has to do entirely with the smoothness of the PFE of Momentum indicator curve AND the dramatic character of the value change when the direction changes. The fundamental assumption of this approach is that strategy robustness can be found in optimizing both the Data values and the Strategy Rules at the same time to maximize some profit-related objective. So, again, if you can show me robust systems that hold up on 1-minute bars to 5-minute bars or tick bars that show the same kind of results over the history of the es contract I am interested and would support your product. But I have strategies generated in Safir that look very promising. And thanks for your words of appreciation!
I'm wondering whether the number of Rules in a Strategy impacts generalizability of the Strategy. Free Trial. I see your point when you differentiate between directionless and trending volatility. In the author analysis, high-volume rallies and declines have more inertia and are likely coinbase atm near me ethereum founder sells continue. Your result are encouraging because it means that maybe we'll find better sets of indicators than those we're using all the time, and also because it demonstrates once again that a linear separation between the 2 classes in how to show different time charts in metastock how to add rsi in thinkorswim optimal, it is necessarily non linear. Initial testing in SafirX looks good. Nothing to report. I just can't justify the pricetag right now to really put it through its paces. I think the base time frame should fast, like one minute. I've built one that's straightforward and can post it. So you see, when you start thinking about what statistical sciences can bring to the trading community, it's endless.
A problem is that the product is easy enough to use that I didn't and confess still haven't read the entire Help File as systematically as I. So you see, there are different approaches to trading, one is what the expert trader has accumulated in terms of knowledge like you, with 20 years of experienceanother is what the engineer is capable of doing with heavy artillery trying to mimick the prowess of the expert. What do I know? Mainly in France and Europe. I wouldn't spend a lot of time looking at non-dynamically adjusted PFEs of Momentum. It's the same as demanding that an engineering firm goes into production instead of helping its clients. The Safir Help file has everything in it. You may also consider that under the current conditions, I would not sell it to you knowing what you intended to. The advantge is here in speed and efficient technology. It seems to me that they. Al brooks trading course pdf free stock intraday data api idea is to experiment using a nearly continuous shift in timeframe so one coin and bitcoin withdrawal fiat from bitcoin exchanges to be able to watch market action slower when it's fast and interesting, and faster when it's not. Just throw your ideas, I'll see what can be. The process is even visual: see how the membership functions are deformed during processing? I'm sure others share the feeling I often have: that endless tweaking of these indicators is a useless and hence stupid exercise. Divergences can also give very good indications of turning points. That's why I wanted to test the software with my own indicators, as my testing has initially indicated that the indicators supplied with the program cannot produce day-trading systems for 1 to 5 minute bars.
Grow the remainder until adult and see what you get. One other question: I'm thinking that the best candidate indicators to serve as SirTrade Switch Template conditions would be those indicators for which SafirX creates the largest number of fuzzy sets. However, it's been proven, in the field of support vector machines specifically, that a linear feature selection and pre-processing improved the subsequent non linear task by a substantial margin. But I wouldn't trade what came out of that because the Avg Net Profit per trade was too low. And I didn't really think posting the address would increase the level of spam I received and I as much as said so a few months back. I'm wondering whether the number of Rules in a Strategy impacts generalizability of the Strategy. I do not know yet if this can be accomplished to produce steady profitable results, but we will know soon as we are now testing "nuance" entries. It has properties in common with both the "classic" indicators and their high zigzag discrimination score AND with the EVOs that perform well despite their low discrimination scores. Their output is always a so called latent variable SafirX is no exception which is being used in a usually simple decision rule, like a threshold: "if latent is rising and latent is crossing over threshold, then buy In this way, the force of every move is defined by its direction, distance, and volume. He is certainly open-eared for all suggestions, quite ready to avoid the traps if pointed out or found by himself. You may also consider to do it within Safir-X using a 2 fuzzy set input boolean. I often find it useful, when attempting to understand something for myself, to work to explain it well to others. The obvious way to use 1 to 5 mn bars or tick, or volume , is to use other indicators, and that's a discussion we all can have. The opportunities were numerous less now and sometime we have added features that were not directly requested, but that we felt necessary because some questions were asked too frequently. This is why we try to take in account remarks and suggestions from the end user and if we may improve something from this feedback, we integrate it into a next version. This is normal as the user cannot interfer with the internal mechanics of the neurofuzzy engine implementation.
Among them indicator reliability, various rescaling, zigzag logic, variable compression bars and. I should say at the outset that knowing how to think about them is not the same thing as being able to use them Also tick data was not supported. Rules then the Data VS. The fundamental assumption of this approach is that strategy robustness can be found in optimizing both the Data values and the Strategy Rules at the same time to maximize thinkorswim commission or non commission forex trading tdi system forex profit-related objective. I know that YM has a larger face value than NQ. Also, going boolean avoids the cumbersome process of dissecting the data set and training two fis separately. My own TS systems did better. I compared the performance of 4 Safir optimization runs. This is seamless. I would be most happy to be proven wrong. In other words, the wrong position is taken at precisely the wrong bar. For the trouble here's one that DOES include commissions and slippage, just for the out-of-sample period 1 year. I hope that you understand my point that was only to avoid to frighten potential level 1 users for no reason. Namely, it provides for determining which periods within the Training Data Set are the best to train on in terms of ease of learning and ease of result generalization. Then it checks the solutions found using unseen data. This is how I would have the system coded using the Amcan and my volatily deal.
Here's the ELD It is statistically more stable than the eratic behaviour of PF charts. The asp in aspTrader is shorthand for the word aspiring. Us ol traders could certainly use some of your statistical abilities for some of our current projects such as using DOM for order filters and profit target adjustments. IVR is the line which is green when it's above 50 and red when below Since today it is visual, I cannot show anything, but the logic is simplistic, therefore codable. I have to pack it along with the zigzag computation before it can be of any use within an EL application. This indicator is meant to be a substitute for Implied Volatility Rank and Percentile for traders who do not have access to readily available options data. You may also consider to do it within Safir-X using a 2 fuzzy set input boolean. Finally, indicators would first have to be fitted in the course of a training stage before being applied to a chart. I am still a bit puzzled by the use of a trend indicator.
It could be better on the train set, but unless you verify on out of sample data, it remains fine curve fitting. Is possible use Safir X to "optimize" a trading system and not an indicator? Due to the complexity of the neurofuzzy logic rule base, it's beyond the scope of any human being to hardly approximate this. The advantge is here in speed and efficient technology. But at least they test very robustly on all es data, which brings us back to your software. EL to follow soon. In conclusion, I don't know if fuzzy logic optimized by neural nets is capable of beating your mechanical system. So I must ask you first what are the results that your decent ES system is able to produce, what slippage do you use, what is the net average trade, timeframe and out of sample date range used for testing it. SafirX is not a tool that requires any knowledge in either field, because it approaches the market by the data analysis perspective, and IMHO humbled by endless nights of trying to design all kinds of non linear machines for meager results ,it is loaded with intelligence which you buy if you don't have it. Could you confirm? It is rather common sense to state that if these indicators together perform a good linear class discrimination, the neurofuzzy non linear separation task will be all the more easier.
Althought I have decided to avoid to widely participate, there are some misunderstood things. I think that one could get trees with this method. Nonlinear tools are good at finding hidden regularities patterns in past data, but it has to be nonlinear. Let me discuss your differents points. I would advise a search with steps of. It may however let you know that it has understood what you intended to highlight or translate. So, don't we want to know 2 things: Is volatility high? It is just my way to think about. To appraise their overlapping, you have to coincide their 0 origin. No theory will justify such system behavior. Without this firm, there'd be a missing link between the realm of academics and everyday applications. I find what you say to be true, namely: Relatively quickly, I can use Safir to generate dozens of strategies that have Performance Reports that look as good as any I have seen from Trading Strategy vendors for a couple thousand dollars. I have yet to assess to which forex vpn providers in uk what forex broker do you use. Maybe it's best to describe a real life example of how SafirX can be used. Anyway, who could tell what you will get from the initial stage? What I'm uncertain about is whether it's Volatility per se that would be important to focus on or whether it's DirectionlessVolatility that is important. That productivity, along with the implied volatility rank tradestation gold futures is showing wrong that you'll find systems is worth a lot. My current contract is YMZ03 and since I only started trading it in september, it's only 45 days old. Financial spread trading vs cfd forex beginners guide pdf here's a list of option strategies how etrade sweep account works I've got that I hope I can throw away because someone has something better. This is what is annoying with this darn software. Neurofuzzy logic is very good at shell oil stock dividend industrials stocks with dividends fitting when a probable logic exist, not good at all if there is no logic at all unlike NNsso what, but this is not enough for robustness Discard tomatoes, parsley and the like when they appear. It's a system generator, and as such requires some involvement on your. Does it include any amount for slippage or commisons?
If you forget this, you will remain into the domain of nice illusionthat may work in real world for a while, fngn finviz thinkorswim momentum trading will probably never generalize over the long run. They will not yield to trees. Here's the ELD Having said that, I am willing to bet that the fuzzy rule sets that are in Safir-X cannot duplicate the trade results that could be achieved from my rule set, which was the point of the start of this thread. But you're right in emphasizing the major differences of approaches between SafirX and other systems including any discretionary rule base. Anyway the visual aspect of EVOs is very appealing, and remember, the human eye is a great nonlinear pattern recognition tool yet to be matched by a machine. The true volatility would have to be derived from near the money options on the same underlying. The CDA is a linear composite of any set of indicators. It means implied volatility rank tradestation gold futures is showing wrong certain amount of work, trial and error, but the most coinbase to electrum wallet pending how long is 1 more day for bitcoin account is that you KNOW that you'll find tradable solutions. The second element is that volatility in a 30mn timeframe can be a smooth tradeable signal in a 5 mn time frame. Not obvious to me that your conclusion were drawn from out of sample data, but I could have misunderstood what you are currently doing. Let me discuss your differents points. And then, it's best to try both settings, you cannot predict the systems' behavior. Is that correct? This is not something that a CDA analysis is capable of doing, due to its linear nature. An this apply to any sofware, any people. This is a narrower field than one may expect. If anyone wishes to using python to automate ninja trading kevin de silva fxprimus, I can do my share. The list of ideal features is endless, but for people like myself, with a comparatively short trading experience, it's preferrable to go for the sure thing.
I am only a trader, for 20 years. Hotmail's junk mail facility works extremely well I think, but I still feel like I need to go through the junk mail bin and clean it out manually. He is certainly open-eared for all suggestions, quite ready to avoid the traps if pointed out or found by himself. Then the switch condition will be part of the rulebase itself. For example, an indicator which would peak at a turning point and go back to neutral right after the TP would be very useful, but achieve poor performance on my test. That was in I also used 3 extreme value oscillators, just to get a feel of their behavior. But the point that I am making is that so far, I have not been able to get your software to produce any robust out-of-sample results on the unseen data tests comparable to what I now have. What do I know? Maybe the neurofuzzy engine in SafirX is able to do that, and that would explain better results with EVOs. During the July uptrend, there were two entries, while during the August correction, it signalled three short trades. I think the base time frame should fast, like one minute. Now, why did I choose 30 mn bars?
D are different instruments because indicators based on them often take on very different values. My anecdotal research has led me to believe that this is the case. Please accept my apologies if case apply. Because the point of the exercise was to determine which indicator set was "best" I used a ELD 9;4. As I have tried to explain several times in this thread, there are 2 approaches to trading that I know of: the expert who derives his rule base from past experience, and the engineer who derives his own from past data. The Data i. Note that, at the end of the July uptrend and the August correction, the indicator printed significant divergences. I test the systems on tick data going back to the inception of the es contract and the systems test very robustly as I am basically trading the noise. IV Percentile is calculated by looking at all of the past values, not just the highest and lowest, and seeing how many of those values were below the current. But defining the problem at hand is a strategic question and needs a lot of thinking. Years before Neuroshell Trader, Biocomp Profit and the like. I can quickly put my hands on some code to compute zigzags using a few different approaches if needed. Spikes of the indicator suggest that, in the long run, markets have reached a top or a bottom. Last is the problem of volatility. In any case, this CDA indicator should be experimented upon immensely with tens of original indicators before claiming its capabilities. But the point that I am making is that so far, I have not been able to get your software to produce any robust out-of-sample results on the unseen data tests comparable to what I now have. Nonlinear tools are good at finding hidden regularities patterns in past data, but it has to be nonlinear. But I have strategies generated in Safir that look very promising.
You can either train locally optimal models trend or volatility and switch from one to the other according to some predetermined triggering criterion ADX, ATR, Well, if the out of sample portfolio looks like curve fitting, then you got it. Low volume indicates that the supply of new participants is low and the trend is near an end. And a bias that you cannot imagine because your brain is not a Safir-X brain It's fun to watch the generated equity curves change quickly when the parameter is set to There is no logic in noise, so no logical system is able to take advantage of a pure random process. They are listed in Euros. Having said that, I am willing to bet that the fuzzy rule sets that are in Safir-X cannot duplicate the trade results that could be achieved from my rule set, which was the point of the start of this thread. It's the same as demanding that an engineering firm goes into production instead of helping its clients. I am currently working on solving the problem when limit orders do not get filled in real-time, which is a problem for all traders who trade with. So, finding a adx binary options strategy underlying trading operating profit meaning that makes for a good Switch in the SirTrade Switch template seems important. What do I get? If is forex currency terminology does metastock work on forex i prefere to see performance report in TS format this mean that you have interfaced Safir-xs with TS. Yes, this is true. There is a version of EricWins zigzag in EL that could easily be not by me!
So, i have a custom trading system in EL and use it with TS7. Release Notes: The new update allows you to be able to choose the length of the data used for the VixFix. Not necessarily, but it gets you thinking. We recommend to be not sophisticated at all first to use it. Of course it has no discriminatory property it is not its purpose , but it is "gamma" shaped, which is the characteristics of a volatility probability density function. It's helpful to me to be thinking through SafirX usage with someone as reflective and as articulate as you are. I can't recall that there is a "classic" indicator for this. GorillaTrades, Inc. My indicators were the canned ones you and I have already described in this thread. I did not test the Safir-X on bars longer thatn 5 minutes as my desire is for intra-day sclpoing. I have no clue as to why, but I have a feeling that lost opportunities for no overnight trading are greater than the hedging of your position.